$10.1k across all 3 markets at the confirmed 65/30/5 split. Validate eCPAs, ADPU benchmarks, and channel mix before committing scale spend.
$71.6k cumulative. All 3 markets live since M1 at the confirmed split. 4-channel mix ramping across the board.
$306.3k cumulative. Affiliation and SEO compounding. Redeposit cohorts building across Germany, Austria and Malta.
English-speaking markets — Canada (excl. Ontario/Alberta), New Zealand and Ireland — share similar Tier 1 characteristics and are worth scoping next, subject to local licensing and payment rails (e.g. Interac is mandatory in Canada). Affiliates, partners and networks for these markets are also already available/at hand.
| Month | Budget ($) | FTDs | Deposits ($) | GGR ($) | NGR ($) | Opex ($) | Profit ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 (Sep 26) | $2,684 | 14 | $3,489 | $137,608 | $93,917 | $162,108 | −$70,875 |
| M2 (Oct 26) | $6,999 | 36 | $15,614 | $134,973 | $92,119 | $160,652 | −$75,532 |
| M3 (Nov 26) | $9,425 | 49 | $27,515 | $134,170 | $91,571 | $166,295 | −$84,149 |
| M4 (Dec 26) | $16,413 | 83 | $48,354 | $136,775 | $93,349 | $166,926 | −$89,991 |
| M5 (Jan 27) | $21,415 | 109 | $74,285 | $141,856 | $96,817 | $177,338 | −$101,936 |
| M6 (Feb 27) | $24,839 | 120 | $93,714 | $145,264 | $99,143 | $178,284 | −$103,980 |
| M7 (Mar 27) | $17,991 | 91 | $161,887 | $166,176 | $113,415 | $183,995 | −$88,571 |
| M8 (Apr 27) | $23,122 | 117 | $178,845 | $171,585 | $117,107 | $185,391 | −$91,406 |
| M9 (May 27) | $27,835 | 141 | $203,955 | $180,810 | $123,403 | $191,246 | −$95,677 |
| M10 (Jun 27) | $34,404 | 175 | $303,314 | $219,355 | $149,710 | $206,394 | −$91,088 |
| M11 (Jul 27) | $39,117 | 198 | $374,446 | $249,465 | $170,260 | $219,287 | −$88,144 |
| M12 (Aug 27) | $44,119 | 223 | $451,246 | $283,943 | $193,791 | $233,840 | −$84,168 |
| 12M Total | $268,363 | 1,356 | — | $2,101,980 | $1,434,602 | $2,231,757 | −$1,065,518 |
| Channel | 12M Spend ($) | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affiliation | $552,784 | DE, AT & MT | |
| FB Media Buying | $201,011 | Paid Facebook/Meta media buying · DE, AT & MT | |
| Influencer & Streamer | — | Content creators · YouTube, Twitch, TikTok · DE, AT & MT | |
| Organic / SEO | — | Compounding returns engine · DE, AT & MT | |
| PPC Blackhat | — | Paused, reallocated to Affiliation · was aggressive paid acquisition · DE, AT & MT | |
| Branding & Social | $0 (paused) | Reallocated to Affiliation · was eSports sponsorships, influencers, Discord/Telegram, industry awards | |
| Total | $1,005,059 | 100% | Sep 26 – Aug 27 · 12 months |
| Country | 12M Spend ($) | 12M FTDs | eCPA | ADPU |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇩🇪 Germany | $653,288 | 3,252 | $200 | $489 |
| 🇦🇹 Austria | $301,518 | 1,537 | $195 | $525 |
| 🇲🇹 Malta | $50,253 | 279 | $180 | $549 |
| Total | $1,005,059 | 5,068 | $198 blended | — |
| Row |
|---|
| Row |
|---|
| Month | Total Budget | Affiliation | FB Media Buying | Organic / SEO | Branding | Influencer & Streamer | PPC Blackhat |
|---|
| Month | Budget ($) | FTDs | DE FTDs | AT FTDs | MT FTDs | Deposits ($) | GGR ($) | NGR ($) | Profit ($) | ROI |
|---|
| Month | NGR Collected ($) | Marketing Budget ($) | Opex ($) | Net Cash Movement ($) | Cumulative Cash Position ($) |
|---|
Access to a segmented lead database — available from Day 1, once the site has passed full audit and optimisation. Recommended approach is gradual send-outs to test deliverability and conversion before scaling into the wider acquisition mix. Further volume available on request, with room to expand into additional geos.
Austria and Malta have rapidly growing YouTube and TikTok creator ecosystems. Partnering with 10–20 mid-tier KOLs (100k–500k followers) per market on a hybrid CPA + retainer model could deliver high-quality FTDs at blended eCPAs below $76 — well below the paid media buying benchmark. Recommended activation from M3 at $15k–25k per market, scaling in H2 once ROI is validated.
| Cost | 16M Total ($) | % of GGR |
|---|---|---|
| SoftSwiss | $1,111,440 | 13.27% |
| Deposit Fees | $821,866 | 9.81% |
| Salaries & Overhead (incl. 2% Settlement) | $1,410,391 | 16.84% |
| Apuesta | $567,935 | 6.78% |
| Withdrawal Fees | $517,389 | 6.18% |
| Bonus Cost | $833,958 | 9.96% |
| Total Opex | $5,262,978 | 62.84% |
| Month | Budget | Opex | FTDs | GGR | NGR | Profit / Loss | ROI | Cumulative Cash |
|---|
| Month | Budget | Opex | FTDs | GGR | NGR | Profit / Loss | ROI | Cumulative Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 Sep 26 | $10k | $160k | 51 | $141k | $97k | −$72k | 0.57x | −$72k |
| M2 Oct 26 | $26k | $165k | 132 | $148k | $103k | −$88k | 0.54x | −$161k |
| M3 Nov 26 | $35k | $177k | 179 | $160k | $111k | −$102k | 0.52x | −$263k |
| M4 Dec 26 | $61k | $188k | 312 | $182k | $126k | −$123k | 0.51x | −$386k |
| M5 Jan 27 | $80k | $211k | 406 | $212k | $147k | −$144k | 0.51x | −$530k |
| M6 Feb 27 | $93k | $221k | 448 | $234k | $162k | −$152k | 0.52x | −$682k |
| M7 Mar 27 | $67k | $254k | 342 | $321k | $222k | −$99k | 0.69x | −$781k |
| M8 Apr 27 | $87k | $267k | 438 | $348k | $241k | −$113k | 0.68x | −$894k |
| M9 May 27 | $104k | $289k | 528 | $388k | $269k | −$125k | 0.68x | −$1.02M |
| M10 Jun 27 | $129k | $356k | 653 | $536k | $372k | −$113k | 0.77x | −$1.13M |
| M11 Jul 27 | $146k | $410k | 742 | $654k | $453k | −$104k | 0.81x | −$1.24M |
| M12 Aug 27 | $165k | $471k | 837 | $787k | $545k | −$92k | 0.86x | −$1.33M |
| M13 Sep 27 | $165k | $404k | 837 | $898k | $653k | +$84k | 1.15x | −$1.24M |
| M14 Oct 27 | $180k | $436k | 914 | $998k | $726k | +$109k | 1.18x | −$1.13M |
| M15 Nov 27 | $201k | $478k | 1,019 | $1.11M | $809k | +$130k | 1.19x | −$1.00M |
| M16 Dec 27 | $224k | $519k | 1,135 | $1.24M | $900k | +$158k | 1.21x | −$847k |
Acquisition is how a new player finds Hertzbetz.com, clicks through, registers, and makes their first deposit (FTD). It's distinct from retention (keeping existing players depositing and playing) — acquisition is specifically about growing the depositing player base with net-new customers.
Every channel in the 12-month plan is a different way of doing this: paying a media platform directly for ad placements (FB Media Buying), paying content creators to promote the brand (Influencer & Streamer), investing in search ranking so players find the site organically over time (SEO), or — the largest single channel by budget — paying third-party partners a commission for every qualifying depositing customer they refer (Affiliation).
Third-party sites/partners refer depositing customers via a tracking link, paid per qualifying FTD or a revenue share.
Paid ad placements bought directly on Meta platforms, targeting the DE/AT/MT markets.
Content creators (YouTube, Twitch, TikTok) promote the brand to their existing audience.
Compounding, non-paid traffic from search rankings — slower to build, cheapest per FTD once established.
We purchase a listing with our brand on external affiliate SEO sites, forums, channels, apps, etc. — third-party platforms with an existing audience of potential players. The affiliate places our casino on their site with a unique affiliate tracking link, and is rewarded for every depositing customer that fulfills the deal criteria.
| Area | Current | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Game Provider Fees | 13% | 10–11% |
| Deposit Processing | 8% | 5–6% |
| Withdrawal Fees | 5% | 3% |
| Wagered Bonuses | 35% | ≤25% |
| Supplier Contracts | Legacy | Market Competitive |
| Lever | Low · Conservative | Medium · Likely | High · Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game Provider Fees 13% → 12% / 10.5% / 9% | $36,800 | $91,900 | $147,000 |
| Deposit Processing 8% → 7% / 5.5% / 5% | $36,800 | $91,900 | $110,300 |
| Withdrawal Fees 5% → 4.5% / 3.5% / 3% | $18,400 | $55,100 | $73,500 |
| Total Potential Annual Savings | $92,000 | $239,000 | $331,000 |
| Scenario | Depositors | Deposits | GGR | NGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1% Conversion | 3,600 | €360,000 | €126,000 | €94,500 |
| 0.5% Conversion | 18,000 | €1,800,000 | €630,000 | €472,500 |
Affiliate Manager — owns partner recruitment and relationship management, negotiates deals, and drives the affiliate channel that this scale-up phase leans on most heavily.
RFP Manager — runs vendor and provider tenders (payments, game providers, agencies) to keep costs competitive as spend scales.
External CS Agency — outsourced player support to absorb the volume increase without building an in-house team from scratch. All three roles are the same hires already used and proven in the core plan, applied here to the scaled-up phase.
| Expense | Monthly (USD) |
|---|---|
| Corporate allocation | $11,700.00 |
| CEO (flat, unbumped every month — see note below) | $15,000.00 |
| Casino Manager | $2,060.00 |
| CRM | $3,000.00 |
| UX/UI | $3,000.00 |
| VIP Manager | $3,600.00 |
| Senior Data Analyst (PT) | $2,500.00 |
| Head of Customer Support | $1,720.00 |
| Admin fees | $14,040.00 |
| AWS / Customer.io / Affiliates | $7,020.00 |
| Payment Agent | $2,106.00 |
| Curaçao Licence | $2,106.00 |
| Total Fixed Monthly Costs | $67,852.00 |
| Expense | Monthly (USD) |
|---|---|
| Retention (flat, unbumped) | $8,400.00 |
| Fee | Basis | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Apuesta | That month's Total GGR | Min $19,890/mo, or 6% of GGR once GGR passes $300k |
| SoftSwiss (separate line from Apuesta, per Sven's latest instruction) | That month's Total GGR | Flat 13% of GGR, every month — no minimum, no threshold |
| Deposit Fees | That month's Total Deposits (New Acquisition + est. Legacy) | 7% (M1–M12); cut to 2% for M13–M16, applied to a Total Deposits basis also cut a further 5% for M13–M16 only, per Sven's latest instruction |
| Withdrawal Fees | That month's Withdrawal Volume (est. Legacy — not Deposits) | Tripled monthly fee amount (the resulting $ figure — previously 10% of Withdrawal Volume — is now simply ×3, per Sven's latest instruction; no longer described as a rate) |
| Phase | Fixed Opex (w/ bump, excl. CEO) | CEO (flat) | Retention (flat) | New Hires (w/ bump) | Apuesta | SoftSwiss | Deposit/Withdrawal Fees | Total Opex (exact) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | $52,852.00 | $15,000.00 | $8,400.00 | $0.00 | $19,890 | $18,286 | $34,996 | $149,424 |
| M6 (+2% bump) | $53,909.04 | $15,000.00 | $8,400.00 | $12,801.00 | $20,288 | $31,922 | $53,645 | $195,965 |
| M12 (+4% bump) | $54,966.08 | $15,000.00 | $8,400.00 | $13,052.00 | $51,378 | $111,318 | $151,654 | $405,768 |
| M16 (+4% bump) | $54,966.08 | $15,000.00 | $8,400.00 | $13,052.00 | $80,939 | $175,368 | $64,461 | $412,186 |